The Epidemiology of Merkel Cell Carcinoma in the United States

May 27, 2025

Journal

Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology

Publication Date

May 27, 2025

Authors

Fakult N, Mani K, Deighen M, Cullison C, Wang M, Bordeaux J, Carroll B, Rothermel L, Zaorsky N

Merkelcell.org Summary

Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) is a rare but aggressive skin cancer. Understanding who is affected, whether the number of cases is increasing, and how patients respond to treatment is important for improving care. This study examined data from a large U.S. cancer database, including 11,574 people diagnosed with MCC between 2000 and 2021, to identify trends in the disease.
The average age at diagnosis was 77, and most patients were male (64%) and white (90%). About 61% were diagnosed before the cancer had spread beyond the skin, and the face was the most common site (26%). While the number of new MCC cases increased from the 1990s through the early 2010s, since 2013 the annual rate has remained steady at around 7 cases per million people in the U.S. However, the total number of people with MCC has continued to rise, largely due to an aging population, particularly among those over 65. In terms of survival, 77% of patients were alive one year after diagnosis, and 44% were alive at five years. Although MCC-related deaths rose between 1980 and 2010, death rates have declined since 2010, likely due to new treatments such as immunotherapy.
Overall, MCC primarily affects older white men. While the total number of cases may continue to grow, survival outcomes have improved in recent years. This study provides valuable insights into how MCC has evolved in the U.S. and highlights the important role of newer therapies in improving patient outcomes.

Abstract

Background

Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) is a rare, aggressive skin cancer with poor outcomes. Many questions remain regarding its epidemiology.

Objective

To characterize the epidemiology of MCC.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective, population-based epidemiologic study of all cases of MCC from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2000 and 2021. Incidence and mortality rates were calculated using SEER*Stat software and SEER 12 (1992-2021) and joinpoint analysis was used to assess changing trends. Cause-specific Cox regression was used for competing risk analysis of survival.

Results

In total, 11 574 patients were identified. Median age at diagnosis was 77, and median survival was 45 months. Incidence did not significantly change since 2013, averaging 0.68 per 100 000 person-years over that time. Mortality stabilized and slightly decreased after 2010, with an average rate of 0.16 since that time. Increased mortality was associated with older age, male sex, increased stage, and location on the scalp and neck. Diagnosis between 2016-2021 was associated with improved survival.

Limitations

Incomplete data and inconsistent variable coding in SEER data impact the interpretation of these findings.

Conclusion

The reported incidence and mortality of MCC have stabilized in recent years. Recent diagnosis was associated with improved survival.
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